Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.009592 0.011416 0.013643 0.016610 0.020541 0.025692 0.033167
2025-06-08 0.007400 0.009558 0.012528 0.017090 0.024283 0.035930 0.058129
2025-06-15 0.006065 0.008231 0.011441 0.016858 0.026529 0.045009 0.089932
2025-06-22 0.005035 0.007052 0.010192 0.015841 0.026867 0.050804 0.122604
2025-06-29 0.004492 0.006484 0.009733 0.015962 0.029298 0.062661 0.192720
2025-07-06 0.004152 0.006164 0.009596 0.016603 0.033103 0.081401 0.344970
2025-07-13 0.003955 0.006041 0.009763 0.017879 0.039116 0.114179 0.785812
2025-07-20 0.003710 0.005791 0.009643 0.018502 0.043856 0.150633 1.887207
2025-07-27 0.003445 0.005470 0.009322 0.018568 0.047071 0.187562 4.944483
2025-08-03 0.003226 0.005201 0.009060 0.018705 0.050697 0.237225 21.283014
2025-08-10 0.002973 0.004842 0.008555 0.018089 0.051334 0.270496 121.227358
2025-08-17 0.002721 0.004460 0.007953 0.017080 0.049979 0.286284 1500.973225
2025-08-24 0.002495 0.004129 0.007461 0.016389 0.050199 0.327876 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002373 0.003989 0.007374 0.016856 0.056083 0.476181 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002221 0.003772 0.007080 0.016628 0.058674 0.613823 NaN
2025-09-14 0.002040 0.003481 0.006576 0.015630 0.056629 0.655439 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001943 0.003351 0.006434 0.015749 0.061010 0.934095 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001882 0.003289 0.006444 0.016378 0.069362 1.645979 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001853 0.003292 0.006614 0.017630 0.084136 4.278365 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001795 0.003228 0.006605 0.018241 0.095628 11.276628 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001721 0.003119 0.006463 0.018306 0.102888 29.443400 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001655 0.003023 0.006346 0.018440 0.111529 140.287034 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001568 0.002875 0.006068 0.017836 0.111556 434.345265 NaN